b Do you understand the a = --- (d) formula and concepts. c Can you look at a Monte Carlo problem and find the a, the b, b the c, The ----- the d? c and figure out which of the four parts is the goal, the unknown? It is all in the above study guide PDF. See page CCC. See CCC. BICTION = if the INK don' flow, the understanding don't grow. Take some notes, use some lead or ink, consume some scratch paper. Practice. Don't just read over and look at. DO! Nike. Just DO it.
b a = ----- * d c 1. Understand the problem: Dr. Peter Venkman i. What is given? What do you know? What is the input? ii. What is the goal? Or what is the unknown? What is it we need to find? Let's not rush things. We don't even know WHAT you have here yet. (What Dr. Peter Venkman says as the Ghostbusters arrive at the NYC Public Library in scene III of the movie). When you finish with Phase I of the problem solving process, you will have answers to the WHAT questions. For Monte Carlo problems, this will generally be: I am given 3 of the 4 or can derive 3 of the 4 numbers. I am given I need to find, the goal is: a and b and c, FIND d or b and c and d, FIND a or a and c and d, FIND b or a and b and d. FIND c Or you might be given a proportion, which is the value of b ----- or be asked to find the proportion. c Suppose you are told that the proportion of darts or turtles that landed inside the circle was exactly 0.4 or 40%. And you were given that the entire area of the turtles grid was 625 (25 rows of patches and 25 columns of patches). And your goal is to estimate the area of the circle in patches. b --- a = --- * d = 0.40 * 625 = 250 patches is estimated circle area. c --- What is radius of the circle, by this area estimate? 2 area = pi * radius squared area = PI r squared or area = PI r 250 = 3.14159 * radius * radius 250 ------- = radius squared so radius = squareRootOf( 250 / 3.14159 ) 3.14159 radius = squareRootOf( 79.578 ) radius = 8.92 64 < 79.578 < 81 so the answer should be 8.something, and since 79.578 is close to 81 or 9 squared, it should be 8.8 or 8.9. So 8.92 makes sense as the answer.